Thursday, February 29, 2024

NIKKI

          As I write this, Nikki Haley is about to get clobbered by Trump in Michigan just as she got clobbered in South Carolina and New Hampshire.  She got pounded by “None of the Above” in Nevada.  Even in the open primary states, where Democrats can vote for her, she loses to Trump by 20 or 30 percentage points.  In a state with a closed primary, where only Republicans can vote for the Republican nominee (e.g., Pennsylvania, Oregon), she is unlikely to get 10% of the vote.

 

         She says she won’t quit, and she still has donors who fund her campaign, yet the only issue she is ever asked about is when she will quit the race and concede victory to Trump.  Particularly annoying are the incessant howls from pro-Trump partisans, which never seem to stop.  Why is she still running?  Why won’t she drop out?  What’s the matter with her??

 

         There are two quite obvious reasons she is still running.  The first is the one she has stated repeatedly.  Trump cannot win a general election, she argues.  He will never get fifty percent of the vote because too many people hate him.  Is she wrong?  I don’t know, but it’s an argument that can’t be dismissed out of hand.  He hasn’t gotten 50% of the vote so far, and he has run for president twice.  And it’s not like the Trump-haters have all suddenly changed their minds and said they’re sorry.

 

         The second reason would be impolite to say, and perhaps politically damaging to her, but we all know what it is.  It is possible Trump will be put in jail, or prevented from running, or will have to make a deal where one of the terms is that he drops out, or is seriously injured or killed by a deranged leftist, or for some other reason will not be on the ballot in November.  If that should happen, Nikki Haley wants to be there when it does.  “Here I am.  Nikki Haley.  Remember me?  I’m running for president and I’m ready to go!”

 

         Do not construe this somehow as an argument that you should vote for Nikki Haley.   I don’t like Nikki Haley.  I view her as combining the worst traits of Mitt Romney and George W. Bush, and it doesn’t help that her backers are Bushies and neo-cons and country-club Republicans and military-industrial rent-seekers.  If she should become the Republican nominee, I doubt I would vote for her.  I might just vote for my wife or RFK Jr. or Nick Foles.

 

         But the pro-Trump partisan nastiness from the pro-Trump partisan nasties doesn’t help the Republicans and it doesn’t help Trump.  He would be much more popular, and much more effective, if he were not so quick to display petty vindictiveness and encourage it in his followers.  But that’s his personality.  He’s fundamentally a bully, which means he values loyalty to himself above all other qualities, and he hates anyone who publicly opposes him.

 

         Haley is running to be the replacement, and it’s a perfectly reasonable thing to do.  Normally, there is no need for a replacement candidate, but this race for the Republican nomination is not normal, and the chance there will need to be a replacement is not zero.  It’s far from zero.  Besides the indictments and the chance Trump’s age will catch up with him, the Democrats will do anything, legal or illegal, to get him out of the race.  Therefore, it is only prudent to have a replacement.  I wish it were someone other than Haley, but she beat Chris Christie and she beat Ramaswamy and she beat DeSantis and some other Republican malcontents and non-entities, so she gets to be the replacement if we need one.  That’s how it works.

 

         If he could perceive subtle distinctions, rather than always dividing the world into “people who love me” and “people who hate me,” Trump would acknowledge what was happening and embrace the Haley-as-replacement-candidate phenomenon.  He could joke about the situation in a good-hearted sort of way, as it gradually became clear no replacement would be needed.  By being minimally gracious about it, he might put himself in a position to gain the support of Haley and her followers once the criminal cases fall apart and the other obstacles are overcome.  Many of Haley’s voters are Democrats or never-Trumpers, of course, but there are also Republicans who could be persuaded to vote for The Donald once they see no other reasonable alternative. 

 

Copyright2024MichaelKubacki      

Saturday, February 17, 2024

MORE ELECTION MUSINGS

          On February 8, the report of Robert Hur was released to the public.  Hur is a former DOJ official who was charged with determining what should be done with the case against Joe Biden for mishandling classified documents when Biden was a Senator and the Vice President.  Hur seemed to acknowledge, somewhat vaguely, that Biden had broken the law, but concluded that Biden could probably not be convicted because, to a jury, he would appear to be a “sympathetic, well-meaning elderly man with a poor memory.”

 

         Biden, and various Democrats on his behalf, made a big show of their outrage at this slur upon his cognitive abilities, but this is merely the latest piece of the drip-drip-drip campaign by the Democrats to swap out old Joe for the November 2024 election.  For months, little news items have been allowed to trickle out into the government-controlled media about this or that gaffe or embarrassing moment, along with an occasional comment from a respected Obama crony on their “concern” about Joe seeking another term.  None of this gets published in the Washington Post or the NYT or talked about on NBC or CNN unless the Obama politburo wants it to be.  Following the news, there is always pushback from Biden’s press secretary or some other White House flack claiming Joe is as sharp as ever, outworks everyone around him, and has complete command of everything that’s happening in the world.  But the result is that Joe’s mental fitness is always in the news, one way or another.

 

         The back-and-forth is all part of the show.  Biden will be replaced, but not now.  To do it now would mean six months of arguments about who the presidential nominee should be, and the politburo has no use for that sort of bickering.  Only when we get to the Democratic Convention will the issue become a “crisis,” and at that point the solution will be presented to all us slobs in the cheap seats.  It will be a fait accompli, as those crazy French people say.

 

         A current ABC News/Ipsos poll reports that 86% of Americans believe Biden is too old to serve a second term, but that’s not enough to pull the trigger.  These next six months will be used to create close to a panic in the body politic from an overwhelming body of evidence that Joe (though he’s a wonderful guy, of course!), has become a danger to America.  By the time the Democrats present their solution to the Biden problem, it will come as a relief, and the new Democratic candidate for president will be nominated by acclamation.

 

         And who will that be?  My position for a year has been that Michelle Obama will be swapped in.  It’s the ideal solution for Barack since it will be understood he would run the nation and that Michelle’s role would be purely ceremonial.  In this, his fourth term as president, he would not have to hide in the background the way he does now, with Biden as his avatar.  In fact, he could live in the White House!

 

         The problem of Kamala remains, however.  The Democrats cannot be seen as having tossed her unceremoniously to the curb.  And while she does not have a lot of support within the party, she remains beloved by older black women, and older black women may be the most fanatical group in the entire Democratic coalition.  Kamala Harris has leverage, and if the Dems are not going to let her be president, they at least will have to throw her a bone.  Or two.

 

         In this context, it is interesting that media coverage of the Hur Report mentions the 25thAmendment, which allows a disabled President to be relieved of his powers and duties by the VP.  Hur himself did not mention the 25th Amendment, so the reference to it is probably designed to educate the public on how Biden may legally get bumped aside when the time comes.  And it further suggests how Kamala may be rewarded for her cooperation.

 

         The Democratic Convention starts on August 24 in Chicago.  A few days before, it will be reported that Biden has suffered a terrible mental setback or a physical injury (or something), and that it is necessary to invoke the 25th Amendment to transfer his powers and duties to his Vice President.  This will happen immediately, to the relief of the American people and with their complete approval.  Thus, Kamala will become the 47th President of the United States (and the First Black Woman President with a Vagina and she’s Part Asian too!).  Then, at the convention itself, after hushed meetings in vape-filled rooms and days of feverish speculation in the press, it is announced that Michelle Obama has graciously agreed to save America and become the party’s candidate for President.  A grateful nation elects her in a landslide in November.  She takes over from Kamala Harris on January 20, 2025, and at her first opportunity, appoints Kamala to the Supreme Court.


    Ever heard of Jackie Robinson?  Of course you have.  Now how about Earl Lloyd?  No?  Earl, on October 31, 1950, stepped on a basketball court and became the first black player in the NBA, but he was not a superstar so today, nobody knows his name.  A hundred years from now, that will be Kamala—the answer to a trivia question. 

 

*

 

         The Democrats will take both the House and the Senate as well as the White House, though their majorities will probably not be very large.

 

         There is just no reason, as a general matter, to vote for Republican candidates in 2024.  They have done almost nothing to oppose the Leftist agenda of open borders, unbridled spending, the de-testosterone-ing of the military, and DEI racism.  And they could have!   The Republicans have controlled the House since the 2022 elections and could have given the Democrats zero dollars to enact their nightmare America, but they chose not to fight. 

 

 As a result of their complicity with the Democrats, there will be little enthusiasm for Republican candidates, and this is a big reason they are lagging in fund-raising vis-à-vis the Dems.  Also, since the Republicans have done nothing to ensure the authentication of mail-in ballots, there will be more Democratic cheating in the 2024 elections than ever before.  There will also be a lot more voting by non-citizens than there was in 2020, when there were about five million such votes.

 

Copyright2024MichaelKubacki 




         

Thursday, February 1, 2024

2024 NFL PLAYOFFS—The Superbowl


         I guess we already know who’s going to win, right?  It’s a psy-op, or a plot to get Biden re-elected by acclamation after he is endorsed by Taylor Swift.

 

         Vivek Ramaswamy, who just dropped out of the Republican presidential race, is a brilliant and articulate guy, but I am told that if you stand really close to him in a quiet room, you can hear bugs flying around inside his head.  He recently wrote on Twitter:

 

         “I wonder who’s going to win the Super Bowl next month.  And I wonder if there’s a major presidential endorsement coming from an artificially culturally propped-up couple this fall.  Just some wild speculation over here, let’s see how it ages over the next eight months.”

 

         And he’s not the only one, of course.  I have seen and heard these same theories, sometimes for fun but sometimes seriously, on radio and TV and the Googles.  The playoffs have been fixed.  The NFL is grooming Kansas City and Mahomes to be the next Patriots/Brady superteam, so KC will win this Superbowl.  Then Travis and Taylor will endorse Biden, etc. etc.

 

         A regular stop on my internet wanderings is Pieceofmindful.com, a blog commandeered by Mark Tokarski, a man who does his own thinking.  I have learned many things from Mr. Tokarski, such as:

 

1)   Jonestown didn’t happen.

 

2)   The person we know as Paul McCartney has, for the last 60 years, been portrayed by Paul McCartney and his twin brother.  It is possible that Paul died a few years ago and the Paul character is now portrayed only by the twin brother.

 

3)   All mass shootings are faked by the U.S. government.

 

4)   The story of John Lennon’s upbringing in a working-class English family is a complete fiction, and all photographs of his mother are laughable forgeries.

 

Mr. Tokarski’s latest entry is a tour-de-force on how games in the NFL are fixed (including video of suspicious pass-interference calls), a review of Swift’s boyfriend history, whether Taylor is a woman or a transexual, whether she is a female homosexual for whom Travis is her beard, and whether he is also gay (making it a double-beard situation).  Having long-ago established that Taylor’s origin story (born in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania) is phony and that she is actually the product of an inbreeding program among America’s elites, he also speculates that she may be sterile and frigid because this is often a side effect of inbreeding.  Finally, for anyone who doubts NFL games are fixed, there is a long discussion, with video, of the 12-17-22 game in which Minnesota was leading the Colts 33-0 at halftime but wound up losing to Indianapolis 39-36.

 

In other words, since we already know the skids are greased for KC and Travis and Tay-Tay and Joe Biden, why would anybody care what I think about the game?

 

San Francisco (-2) vs, Kansas City

 

 I never gave the Chiefs any chance to get to the Superbowl, let alone win it, so how can I jump on their bandwagon now?  I can’t.

 

The San Fran AYP is 8.1; Kansas City’s is 5.6.

 

The San Fran defensive AYP is 4.6; Kansas City’s is 5.3.

 

San Fran outscored its opponents by 11.3 ppg; Kansas City by 4.5 ppg.

 

San Fran is 11-2 in regular-season games decided by eleven or more points; KC is 4-1.

 

I admit I am troubled by the way the 49ers have fallen behind in both their playoff games, though they have awakened and roared back.  Comebacks are not as convincing as games where a team takes a 28-0 lead and then coasts home.  Still, looking at these numbers, I cannot make an argument for Kansas City that does not involve psy-ops, Joe Biden, and whether Taylor Swift has an Adam’s apple.

 

Take the 49ers.

 

Copyright2024Michael Kubacki