THOUGHTS ON THE 2024 ELECTION—The Republicans

 

         I have questions about who will win.  In particular, I do not buy the story being told by Trump and his various boosters and flacks that the race is over.

 

         As for the non-entities (Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Tim Scott, Ryan Binkley, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Asa Hutchinson, Perry Johnson, Vivek Ramaswamy, Francis Suarez), little needs to be said.  Many of them are nice people and might even be good presidents in a different universe, but the idea that one of them will emerge from the pack and win the Republican nomination is just silly.  It will either be Trump or DiSantis.

 

         In the race between the two, the polls indicate Trump is ahead by a lot, but I love the campaign DiSantis is running.  He knows the race does not end today, or tomorrow, and he knows that the steady drip of criminal indictments will take its toll.  Yes, the charges against Trump are fueled solely by Trump Derangement Syndrome and are largely bogus, but they are not going away.  In fact, there will be more of them, and their effect is to diminish Trump’s chances of victory in a general election.  There are still plenty of Trumpsters who would take a bullet for the guy, but there are also Trumpsters who are losing faith in his ability to win.

 

         In this bizarre political environment, the DiSantis campaign strategy has been perfect, and brilliant.  He does not engage in the mud-wrestling, though he will occasionally respond politely to Trump’s constant efforts to make the campaign personal.  He presents himself as the conservative (which he is), presses the anti-woke politics that made him so successful in Florida, and waits for the electorate to turn his way.  Time is his friend, and Trump’s enemy.  Though he may not win, I admire DiSantis for his consistency in formulating a strategy early on and sticking with it.

 

         Also, the polls that Trump touts relentlessly are not as uniformly pro-Trump as Donald (and the leftists who are pushing him for the Republican nomination) would have you imagine.  In head-to-head Trump-DiSantis polls, Trump wins handily, it is true.  However, in a number of swing states, Biden beats Trump but loses to DiSantis.  These largely unpublicized polls are being noticed by Republicans who want to win in 2024.  There is a growing body of evidence for what we all suspect---that Trump can never get 50% of the vote in a general election.  But DiSantis may.

 

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         But while it is fun to speculate on the Republican primary race, the fact remains that the Democrats will win in 2024.  In fact, there is no reason to think there will ever be another free and fair presidential election in the United States.  In many states, voting laws were changed in 2020 to allow mail-in voting with virtually no authentication of voters.  Many millions of Democratic voters are not voters at all.  They are “ballots.”

 

         It will probably be illegal soon to state the 2020 election was stolen, but it’s not yet punishable as a crime so I might as well say it.  The 2020 election was stolen.  The result is just so implausible that no fair-minded individual who has reviewed the facts can conclude it was kosher.

 

         Let’s recap, starting with some numbers that have already been dropped down the memory hole.  Here are the popular vote totals in the last four presidential elections:

 

         Biden 2020:         81 million

         Trump 2020:        74.2 million

         Obama 2008:        69.5 million

         Obama 2012:        65.9 million

         Clinton 2016         65.9 million

         Trump 2016:         63 million

         Romney 2012:      60.9 million

         McCain 2008:       59.9 million

 

         First, please note that the top three totals are the most ever recorded in a US presidential election.  Obama’s 69.5 million in 2008 was a record at the time. Trump beat that number in 2020 by almost 5 million, yet somehow Biden, a man who generated no enthusiasm as a candidate and who regularly attracted fifty or a hundred people to his rallies, crushed them both.  As most of us can recall, the energy and excitement for Obama in 2008 was off the charts, yet his old war-horse of a VP somehow attracted 11.5 million more “votes” (an increase of 16%) than Barack had garnered at the peak of his popularity.

 

         In US presidential elections in which an incumbent is seeking re-election, our history is that the contest becomes a referendum on the incumbent.  If he receives fewer popular votes the second time, he loses (only exception: Obama in 2012).  If he gets more votes the second time, he wins.  Trump, in 2020, got 11.2 million more votes in 2020 than he had in 2016, yet he lost.  Nothing remotely close to this has ever happened before in our history.  No incumbent president has ever gotten more votes in his second election than he did in his first, yet lost.

 

         Other voting anomalies abound, and rather than get too deep into the weeds, I recommend you look at the analysis of data from the 2020 census versus voting totals.  Also look at results in the bellwether counties across the US.  There were 19 such counties which had voted for the presidential winner in every race since 1980.  This time, 18 of the 19 went for Trump, yet he lost.  None of these anomalies is definitive in itself, but as you review the evidence, you too will come to see just how implausible it is to believe Biden won the 2020 election.

 

         For me, the most suggestive lies in the sheer number of votes.  In 2016, Trump and Clinton pulled a total of 128.9 million votes.  Four years later, there were 155.2 million cast, an increase of over 20%.

 

         Turnout across the land, we are told, was around 75%, the largest since the election of 1900.

 

         Recall that the election occurred in November of 2020, when the country was in a state of panic.  There were mask mandates in most of the nation and social-distancing stickers on the floor of supermarkets and sanitizer stations at the door of every business.  A hundred thousand businesses had closed. COVID death tolls were trumpeted on TV and in newspapers every day, and the vaccines (that were totally fer sure going to save everybody), were unavailable, not yet approved.  I knew plenty of people who, in November 2020, would not leave the house for any reason.  They had all their food and other supplies delivered.

 

         And yet, in 2020, 26.3 million more people voted than had done so in 2016.  Where did they all come from?  They didn’t all go to the trouble of figuring out how to vote by mail, did they?

 

         The fraudulent votes in 2020 came primarily from three sources, some of which were traditional and some of which were brand-new.  Since Republicans have done virtually nothing to stop the cheating, the number of fraudulent votes will only continue to grow.

 

         Traditional Cheating in Big Democratic Cities

 

         I am familiar with this variety because I live in Philly and it has been going on my entire life, in every election.  Democrats even do it in primary elections; in other words, they cheat each other.

 

         The Democratic machine has run Philadelphia, and Philadelphia elections, since I was born.  What this means is that the vast majority of polling places in the city are run by minor Democratic officials (committeemen and such), who live in the neighborhood.  Typically, there are noRepublicans present at the table to oversee what happens.  These local Democrats serve for decades and come to know everyone in the community.  They know who died.  They know who moved to Florida in 2008.  All these departed voters are on the rolls because there is never any effort to remove non-voters from the list, and if there is an attempt to mount such an effort, it is viciously resisted as anti-democratic or racist or whatever.  YOU WANT TO DISENFRANCHISE VOTERS????  Nice try, you Republican fascists, but we’re having none of it.

 

         For many years in Philly, there were more votes cast than there were registered voters.  Nobody seemed to care much, but they don’t do it that way anymore.  Nowadays, the turnout is large, but not impossible.

 

         Of course, the local Democrats running the precinct cast votes for the people who moved on to Clearwater or Salt Lake or heaven ten years before.  I’m sure they think that those folks would have wanted it that way.

 

         And they do another thing as well.  On election day in Philly, no union member in any of the building trades works.  It’s the law or it’s in their contracts or something, and that’s the way it has been since the Big Bang.  What they do is drive around the city and bring people into polling places so they can vote.  These voters live in group homes and do not understand what “vote” means, or they are drug addicts who live on the street, but they are brought to polling places by the van-load and they are allowed to vote.  The guys who drive them to the polling venue go into the voting booth with them.  You know.  To help.

 

         I have personally witnessed this.  Probably every conscientious voter in South Philly, where I saw it, has witnessed it.

 

         Non-Citizen Voters

 

         With the open border to our South, there are an increasing number of these voters.  A recent study by Just Facts indicates that between ½ million and 5 ½ million (let’s call it 3 million), non-citizens voted in the 2020 presidential election.  Eliminating these illegal votes would have been more than enough to move several swing states into the Trump column and give him the necessary electoral votes for the win.

 

         All fifty states require that registered voters be citizens.  Also, federal law forbids non-citizens from voting.  As a rule, however, no documentary evidence is required, and when some states tried to demand proof of citizenship, court rulings obtained by the Obama Administration prevented states from doing so.  In effect, there is no enforcement of the rule that voters must be citizens, no one tries to catch them, and there is no punishment if they should be caught.

 

         At the state level, some states ask for a social security number but most request only a bank statement or utility bill.  Even a request for an SS number is not very effective since most illegals have them.  The traffic in fake SS numbers is large.

 

         The Just Facts study was not some sort of extrapolation, it was actually based on a series of surveys of non-citizens that began in 2008.  At that time 15% of illegals said they had registered and 8% said they had actually voted.  These numbers have grown in subsequent elections so that based on these surveys, the number of non-citizens who voted in 2020 was (best conservative estimate), around 3.5 million.  Any errors on these self-reported votes would tend to understate the actual numbers, of course, since there would be voters who would not want to admit they had done something illegal.

 

         Invented People

 

         In the past, the problem with inventing people and casting votes for them was that on election day, you had to produce some person at the polling place who would walk in, sign the book, enter the booth, and vote.  Among people who want to cheat in elections, this was not a moral issue, but it was a practical one.  Where are we going to find somebody who will walk in and pretend to be somebody we made up?

 

         This problem was solved for the cheaters by the widespread passage of vote-by-mail legislation in 2020.  There are places where authentication of ballots was preserved in the vote-by-mail process (e.g., Florida).  But in most states, the new vote-by-mail laws were a way of eliminating the requirement that people identify themselves before being permitted to vote.  I am most familiar with Pennsylvania, and that is what happened here.  Previously, a registered voter had to appear in person, sign the book, and have their signature checked against a prior signature.  Then mail-in ballots arrived, there was no authentication, yet the ballots were counted.  Dates didn’t matter, signatures didn’t matter, and there was suddenly no interest in determining that the ballot came from a living, human, resident of the state.  “Ballots” gave Biden the win in Pennsylvania, not voters.  And this occurred across the land.

 

         There is nothing surprising about the fact that when you give people a reason to invent human beings, they will do so.  If it will further their political goals, or put money in their pockets, OF COURSE they will invent people.

 

         On October 22, 1986, President Reagan signed the Tax Reform Act of 1986.  One of its provisions was that any child five years or older claimed as a dependent  had to have a Social Security number.  The following year, seven million dependent children disappeared from the tax rolls.

 

Copyright2023MichaelKubacki