Sunday, February 13, 2022

2022 NFL PLAYOFFS—Superbowl

           For a guy like me and a system like mine, this is an easy call, so this will be short and sweet.

 

          AYP (“adjusted yards per pass”) is a measure of a team’s ability to complete long passes, make big plays, and “throw the ball down the field.”  Cincinnati’s AYP for the regular season was 7.4, the biggest number of all fourteen playoff teams.  LA’s AYP was 6.6.  I’m picking the Bungles to win the game.

 

          Otherwise, there are few major differences in the stats these teams bring to the party.  Both outscored their opponents by about 5 points per game.  Both came into the postseason as #4 seeds.  Both are primarily passing attacks with mediocre rushing games.

 

          I won’t argue with those who claim the Rams’ pass defense is superior to Cincy’s, but based on the numbers I see, the gap is not large.

 

          One final point.  In the playoffs, the Rams faced a 3rd, 5th and 6th seed in Dallas, Arizona and San Fran, three teams no one really expected to win the championship.  Cincy, by contrast, beat a 1, 2, and a 5 (Tennessee, KC and Vegas) to get here.  Both Tennessee and Kansas City were considered serious contenders for the crown.  In other words, the Rams had a relatively easy path to this Superbowl, but the Bengals met, and beat, the best.

 

Copyright2022MichaelKubacki

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