The Iowa caucuses are tonight. Based on recent polls, Trump
should edge Ted Cruz, with Rubio a close-up third. Considering the campaign thus far, however,
about the only thing we can realistically expect is a surprise.
That still leaves us with the question: what kind of surprise? Will Trump actually win big or will he
disappoint?
I’m predicting he disappoints. Over the past few months we have all learned
a lot about the unexpected political currents driving this race, and I have
been as amazed as anyone. The one thing
I still can’t believe, however, is that Donald Trump, in an Iowa contest
against Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, will take the
evangelical Christian vote. This bloc is
a critical part of the Iowan Republican electorate, and it’s hard to see them,
en masse, ignoring Trump’s divorces, his boasting about adulterous
relationships, and his life-long (until recently) pro-abortion views.
Prediction: Trump
finishes third, behind both Cruz and Rubio, though I express no opinion on
which one of the two actually wins.
On the Democratic side, Hillary is 0 -1 against socialists
in the Iowa caucuses, and after tonight, she will be 0 – 2. One thing you need to win Iowa is
enthusiastic supporters who are willing to spend hours in a fire hall or a
church basement on a mid-winter night in order to vote for their
candidate. Today is the day we learn
just how un-enthusiastic Hillary’s minions
truly are.
And as long as I’m predicting things, Phil will see his
shadow tomorrow morning and we will have six more weeks of winter.
And finally, the Carolina Panthers will win and cover on
February 7.
Not that you asked.
Copyright2016MichaelKubacki
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