This is a crank letter I sent to Marcus Hayes, a veteran sportswriter for the Philadelphia Inquirer and Daily News.
Mr. Hayes---
This
is not your first article criticizing athletes for refusing COVID
vaccines. You apparently think they are foolish to do so, since you
attribute their reluctance to "anecdotes, pseudoscience and
misinformation." Let me try to persuade you that the decision on
whether to get the shot involves a personal risk/benefit analysis and that
individuals, especially young and healthy athletes, may rationally determine
that getting vaccinated is the wrong thing to do.
According
to the CDC’s Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (VAERS) database, there
were 5467 COVID-vaccine deaths reported in the U.S. as of
June 24, 2021. With these numbers come a couple of disclaimers:
1. VAERS is basically a bulletin board, and the CDC does not
verify these death reports. That means that some of these deaths of
recently-vaccinated people could have been caused by something other than the
vaccine. Some reports might even be
completely false, though it is a violation of federal law to file a false
report.
2. A study by Harvard researchers concluded that less than 1% of adverse
events related to vaccines are actually reported to the VAERS
database. This is at least partly because many people are unaware
such a reporting system exists and also because there is no legal requirement
for vaccine-related injuries to be reported. This means that the
number of vaccine deaths might be much higher than 5467.
The
equation here is pretty straight-forward. For a healthy young ballplayer,
the virus itself poses a virtually zero risk of death or hospitalization.
The vaccines, however, pose a small but very real risk of serious injury or
even death. The decision to refuse the shot is a rational one. And it
is certainly not a choice you are in a position to second-guess.
Copyright2021MichaelKubacki
(NOTE: The VAERS
database can be found at https://wonder.cdc.gov/vaers.html.)